GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/26/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Philadelphia Union are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Columbus Crew are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Columbus Crew hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia UnionWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Columbus CrewWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew
46.3Attack48.1
38.9Defence48.1
29.6Form37.0
40.9Power46.3
1.53xG1.65
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