GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 7/23/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Philadelphia Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Philadelphia Union are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Club Tijuana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Philadelphia Union hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 20.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Leagues Cup, while Philadelphia Union holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Philadelphia Union

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Philadelphia Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia UnionWWLLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Club TijuanaWDLWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Philadelphia UnionClub Tijuana
33.3Attack11.1
55.6Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
42.2Power20.2
1.73xG1.09
View match centre →