GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 7/26/2023, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Philadelphia Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Philadelphia Union are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Club Queretaro are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Philadelphia Union hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Leagues Cup, while Philadelphia Union holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Philadelphia Union

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Philadelphia Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia UnionWWWLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Club QueretaroLWLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Philadelphia UnionClub Queretaro
33.3Attack11.1
55.6Defence33.3
33.3Form11.1
42.2Power23.1
1.71xG1.10
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