GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 2/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Philadelphia Union II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Philadelphia Union II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Toronto II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.2 against 45.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while Philadelphia Union II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Philadelphia Union II

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

12.8%

Philadelphia Union II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia Union IIDLWWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Toronto IILLLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Philadelphia Union IIToronto II
36.4Attack55.6
56.1Defence36.5
42.4Form42.9
46.2Power45.7
1.52xG1.37
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