GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New York RB II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Philadelphia Union II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while New York RB II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New York RB II hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the MLS Next Pro, while New York RB II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New York RB II

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

12.5%

New York RB II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia Union IIWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
New York RB IIWWWDD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Philadelphia Union IINew York RB II
36.4Attack65.2
56.1Defence43.9
42.4Form51.5
46.2Power53.0
1.31xG1.64
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