Philadelphia Union IIvs
New York City II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Philadelphia Union II 1-1 New York City II
Original prediction
New York City II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.4% | 38.8% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.9% | 22.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 30.8% | 38.9% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
New York City II
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
New York City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80