GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Philadelphia Union II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Philadelphia Union II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Cincinnati II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Philadelphia Union II hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 30.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the MLS Next Pro, while Philadelphia Union II holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Philadelphia Union II

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

12.2%

Philadelphia Union II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia Union IIWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC Cincinnati IILLLWW

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Philadelphia Union IIFC Cincinnati II
36.4Attack34.9
56.1Defence28.6
42.4Form22.2
46.2Power30.6
1.79xG0.82
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