GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bethlehem Steel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Connecticut FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Connecticut FC

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bethlehem SteelWWDLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Connecticut FCWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Bethlehem SteelConnecticut FC
36.4Attack63.5
56.1Defence41.3
42.4Form50.8
46.2Power52.9
1.38xG1.60
View match centre →