Bethlehem Steelvs
Connecticut FC
SCHEDULEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bethlehem Steel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Connecticut FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Connecticut FC
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60