GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 9/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Philadelphia Union II 1-0 Columbus Crew II

Original prediction

Columbus Crew II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1741.7%33.1%-8.7 pts
Draw3.7124.5%22.3%-2.2 pts
Away2.6833.8%44.7%10.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

10.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–17%

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew II

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Columbus Crew II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia Union IIWLWWD

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Columbus Crew IIWLWLL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Philadelphia Union IIColumbus Crew II
44.0Attack62.5
49.3Defence50.0
45.3Form56.9
47.7Power57.8
1.41xG1.83
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