GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Philadelphia Union II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Philadelphia Union II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Carolina Core are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Philadelphia Union II hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while Philadelphia Union II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Philadelphia Union II

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

13.9%

Philadelphia Union II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia Union IIDLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Carolina CoreDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Philadelphia Union IICarolina Core
36.4Attack46.4
56.1Defence42.0
42.4Form33.3
46.2Power42.0
1.41xG1.13
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