Pharcovs
Mega Sport
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 9/18/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pharco · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pharco 1-0 Mega Sport, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pharco 2-1 Mega Sport
Original prediction
Pharco
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.2% | 49.8% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.4% | 29.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 6.27 | 14.4% | 20.7% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Projected Score
Pharco 1–0 Mega Sport
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Pharco
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Pharco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PharcoWDWWW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mega SportLLDD
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/1.00
BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
PharcoMega Sport
41.7Attack16.7
91.7Defence66.7
83.3Form16.7
75.3Power36.5
1.15xG0.56