GGOALVIO

Egypt · Second League · 10/16/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Pharco 0-0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat, with an exact score probability of 25%.

Prediction record

Final result

Pharco 1-0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2240.7%37.4%-3.3 pts
Draw2.6334.5%34.2%-0.3 pts
Away3.6524.8%28.4%3.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.3 pts

Projected Score

Pharco 0–0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat

Exact score probability: 25%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.2%

Model confidence

37.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PharcoWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Maleyet Kafr El ZayiatWLWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PharcoMaleyet Kafr El Zayiat
45.8Attack41.7
75.0Defence83.3
66.7Form70.8
63.9Power67.6
0.77xG0.66
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