Pharcovs
El Mansura
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 8/28/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pharco · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pharco 2-0 El Mansura
Original prediction
Pharco
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.4% | 39.2% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.9% | 30.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.7% | 30.2% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Pharco
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Pharco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PharcoWWLLL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
El MansuraWDDDW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
PharcoEl Mansura
33.3Attack66.7
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power80.3
1.06xG0.95