Pharcovs
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 9/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pharco · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pharco 0-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pharco 2-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
Original prediction
Pharco
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 40.1% | 38.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 32.7% | 32.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.3% | 28.6% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Projected Score
Pharco 0–0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Pharco
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Pharco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PharcoDWWWL
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Baladiyyat Al MehallaWDLLL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PharcoBaladiyyat Al Mehalla
33.3Attack22.2
100.0Defence77.8
77.8Form44.4
72.8Power51.1
0.94xG0.64