GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PFC Sochi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC Sochi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Volga Ulyanovsk are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sochi hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the First League, while FC Sochi holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PFC Sochi

Probability

53.7%

Model confidence

12.2%

PFC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PFC SochiWLWLD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Volga UlyanovskWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PFC SochiVolga Ulyanovsk
66.7Attack40.0
53.3Defence46.7
46.7Form40.0
53.8Power44.4
1.79xG1.03
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