Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PFC Sochi · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
PFC Sochi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Aktobe are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and PFC Sochi hold a 28.1-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while PFC Sochi holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PFC Sochi
Probability
75.0%
Model confidence
12.6%
PFC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20