Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrovac · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Petrovac are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Rudar are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Petrovac hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 35.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the First League, while Petrovac holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Petrovac
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Petrovac has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.33
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40