GGOALVIO

Montenegro · First League · 10/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Otrant-Olympic · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Petrovac 0-0 Otrant-Olympic, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Petrovac 2-3 Otrant-Olympic

Original prediction

Otrant-Olympic

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2939.6%29.7%-9.8 pts
Draw2.9630.5%29.1%-1.4 pts
Away3.0229.9%41.1%11.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 2.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.2 pts

Projected Score

Petrovac 0–0 Otrant-Olympic

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Otrant-Olympic

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Otrant-Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PetrovacLLLDD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Otrant-OlympicLDLWW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PetrovacOtrant-Olympic
29.2Attack56.7
66.7Defence60.0
33.3Form56.7
44.2Power58.2
0.79xG1.15
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