Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Petrovac 0-0 Mornar, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Petrovac 1-1 Mornar
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.8% | 31.6% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.75 | 33.0% | 32.1% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.3% | 36.3% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.75 · Draw 1.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Projected Score
Petrovac 0–0 Mornar
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PetrovacDWDLL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MornarWWDLL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PetrovacMornar
0.0Attack41.7
100.0Defence70.4
33.3Form59.3
45.3Power59.3
0.73xG0.97