Petrovacvs
Arsenal Tivat
COMPLETEDMontenegro · First League · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrovac · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Petrovac 1-2 Arsenal Tivat
Original prediction
Petrovac
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.4% | 45.8% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.9% | 28.6% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 5.10 | 17.8% | 25.6% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Petrovac
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Petrovac has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60