Petrolul Ploiestivs
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 10/17/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrolul Ploiesti · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Petrolul Ploiesti 0-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Petrolul Ploiesti 1-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Original prediction
Petrolul Ploiesti
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 44.3% | 48.9% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.1% | 30.1% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.6% | 20.9% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
Petrolul Ploiesti 0–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Petrolul Ploiesti
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Petrolul Ploiesti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00