Petrolul Ploiestivs
Csikszereda
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrolul Ploiesti · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Petrolul Ploiesti 2-0 Csikszereda, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Petrolul Ploiesti 2-0 Csikszereda
Original prediction
Petrolul Ploiesti
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 61.0% | 71.4% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.7% | 18.3% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 5.64 | 16.2% | 10.3% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Projected Score
Petrolul Ploiesti 2–0 Csikszereda
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Petrolul Ploiesti
Probability
71.4%
Model confidence
71.4%
Petrolul Ploiesti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40