Petrolul Ploiestivs
CS Afumati
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrolul Ploiesti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Petrolul Ploiesti 3-2 CS Afumati
Original prediction
Petrolul Ploiesti
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.6% | 38.7% | -17.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.1% | 27.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 4.45 | 20.3% | 34.2% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Petrolul Ploiesti
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Petrolul Ploiesti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00