GGOALVIO

Egypt · Premier League · 10/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Petrojet · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Petrojet 2-2 Wadi Degla

Original prediction

Petrojet

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8532.2%39.5%7.3 pts
Draw2.8332.4%29.9%-2.5 pts
Away2.5935.4%30.6%-4.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–014%

Predicted outcome

Petrojet

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Petrojet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PetrojetWWLLD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Wadi DeglaWLLDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PetrojetWadi Degla
53.3Attack26.7
46.7Defence66.7
46.7Form33.3
51.9Power44.0
1.21xG0.89
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