Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Petrojet are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while El Geish are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and El Geish hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.3% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
22.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00