Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Petrojet 0-0 El Geish, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Petrojet 2-3 El Geish
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 28.9% | 32.3% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.6% | 31.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.5% | 36.3% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Projected Score
Petrojet 0–0 El Geish
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PetrojetDLWDW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
El GeishWLLWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PetrojetEl Geish
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
0.94xG1.02