Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AL Masry · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Petrojet 2-1 AL Masry
Original prediction
AL Masry
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.63 | 25.3% | 29.3% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 31.8% | 29.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.9% | 41.1% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
AL Masry
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
AL Masry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PetrojetLLDLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AL MasryLWWLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PetrojetAL Masry
44.4Attack44.4
33.3Defence66.7
11.1Form66.7
32.9Power62.6
0.99xG1.28