Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zimbru · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Petrocub 1-1 Zimbru
Original prediction
Zimbru
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.1% | 34.6% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.9% | 25.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.0% | 39.5% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Zimbru
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Zimbru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PetrocubWWDWL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ZimbruLLWWW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PetrocubZimbru
61.5Attack69.2
66.7Defence69.2
61.5Form66.7
63.4Power67.6
1.23xG1.31