Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrocub · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Petrocub are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Zimbru are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Petrocub hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (67.6 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Super Liga, while Petrocub holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Petrocub
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Petrocub has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20