Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrocub · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Petrocub 2-0 Sireți, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Petrocub 2-1 Sireți
Original prediction
Petrocub
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 73.5% | 65.0% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.03 | 17.8% | 21.0% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 10.35 | 8.7% | 14.0% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Projected Score
Petrocub 2–0 Sireți
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Petrocub
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
Petrocub has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PetrocubDWLLW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SirețiLDDDD
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
PetrocubSireți
63.6Attack18.2
63.6Defence54.5
54.5Form21.2
60.0Power34.3
2.06xG0.55