Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrocub · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Petrocub are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Saburtalo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Petrocub hold a 37.9-point power-rating edge (61.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Petrocub holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Petrocub
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Petrocub has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20