GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 8/19/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Petrocub · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Petrocub are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Milsami Orhei are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Petrocub hold a 28.9-point power-rating edge (67.6 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.3% in the Super Liga, while Petrocub holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Petrocub

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

69.3%

Petrocub has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PetrocubWLLLW

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Milsami OrheiWWLDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PetrocubMilsami Orhei
71.4Attack23.8
66.7Defence52.4
66.7Form33.3
67.6Power38.7
2.31xG0.72
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