GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/29/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Petrocub are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ludogorets are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (36.3 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PetrocubWLLDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
LudogoretsWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PetrocubLudogorets
16.7Attack66.7
50.0Defence41.7
33.3Form50.0
36.3Power51.9
1.29xG1.58
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