GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Petrocub · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Petrocub 0-0 Dacia-Buiucani

Original prediction

Petrocub

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3466.7%67.0%0.3 pts
Draw4.2721.0%19.5%-1.5 pts
Away7.3012.3%13.5%1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–012%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.1–111%

Predicted outcome

Petrocub

Probability

67.0%

Model confidence

67.0%

Petrocub has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PetrocubDWWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dacia-BuiucaniLWWLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PetrocubDacia-Buiucani
59.5Attack45.2
66.7Defence50.0
59.5Form47.6
62.1Power48.3
2.03xG0.81
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