Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petržalka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Petržalka 1-0 Pohronie
Original prediction
Petržalka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.6% | 59.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.2% | 21.2% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 5.22 | 17.2% | 19.1% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Petržalka
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Petržalka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PetržalkaLWDWW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PohronieWWWWW
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PetržalkaPohronie
70.8Attack66.7
75.0Defence54.2
87.5Form66.7
77.0Power64.1
2.07xG1.03