Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petržalka · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Petržalka 2-0 Malženice, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Petržalka 1-1 Malženice
Original prediction
Petržalka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 70.3% | 76.6% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.00 | 18.3% | 15.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 8.00 | 11.4% | 7.9% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Projected Score
Petržalka 2–0 Malženice
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Petržalka
Probability
76.6%
Model confidence
76.6%
Petržalka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PetržalkaWWLWD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MalženiceLWLLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PetržalkaMalženice
66.7Attack43.3
80.0Defence50.0
90.0Form33.3
78.6Power44.0
2.39xG0.57