PetonevsNapier City Rovers

Petone are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Napier City Rovers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Napier City Rovers hold an 83.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.7% in the Chatham Cup, while Napier City Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.