Petřín Plzeňvs
Spartak Pribram
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie A · 10/3/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petřín Plzeň · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Petřín Plzeň 4-3 Spartak Pribram
Original prediction
Petřín Plzeň
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.9% | 50.5% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.0% | 24.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.1% | 25.6% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Petřín Plzeň
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Petřín Plzeň has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.50