Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 28 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Petřín Plzeň

Petřín Plzeň

Home
L
15
Full time
Jiskra Domažlice

Jiskra Domažlice

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Jiskra Domažlice33%
Petřín Plzeň33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Petřín Plzeň
33%
Draw
33%
Jiskra Domažlice
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Petřín Plzeň
34
Jiskra Domažlice
73
Defence
Petřín Plzeň
6
Jiskra Domažlice
91
Momentum
Petřín Plzeň
0
Jiskra Domažlice
100
Danger (xG)
Petřín Plzeň
0.90
Jiskra Domažlice
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.47 xG for Petřín Plzeň and 1.60 xG for Jiskra Domažlice — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.14), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.07 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Petřín Plzeň)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Jiskra Domažlice)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Petřín Plzeň)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Jiskra Domažlice)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Petřín PlzeňPetřín Plzeň
L
Jiskra DomažliceJiskra Domažlice
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Petřín Plzeň33%
Draw33%
Jiskra Domažlice33%

Jiskra Domažlice leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Petřín Plzeň vs Jiskra Domažlice: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Petřín Plzeň take on Jiskra Domažlice in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: These sides have met 5 times recently. The historical pattern suggests this fixture can be unpredictable regardless of the underlying numbers — tactical familiarity between these teams can neutralise statistical edges.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Petřín Plzeň

Petřín Plzeň

L
@ Loko Vltavín
16 May 2026
13
Jiskra Domažlice

Jiskra Domažlice

W
vs Kladno
16 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Petřín Plzeň vs Jiskra Domažlice?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Petřín Plzeň vs Jiskra Domažlice?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Petřín Plzeň vs Jiskra Domažlice?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Petřín Plzeň vs Jiskra Domažlice?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more