GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Two · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Peterhead are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Stenhousemuir are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stenhousemuir hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PeterheadWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
StenhousemuirDWLLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PeterheadStenhousemuir
53.7Attack46.3
63.9Defence71.3
55.6Form63.0
58.6Power61.4
0.98xG0.93
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