Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterhead · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Peterhead are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Spartans are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartans hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the League Two, while Peterhead holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterhead
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Peterhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60