Peterheadvs
Queen of the South
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterhead · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterhead 0-1 Queen of the South
Original prediction
Peterhead
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.5% | 41.5% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.9% | 27.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.6% | 31.2% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Peterhead
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Peterhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 18 · avg 2.00/3.60