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Peterhead logoPeterheadvsPartick logoPartick

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Scotland · League Cup · 7/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Partick · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Peterhead are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Partick are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Partick hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 75.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the League Cup, while Partick holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Partick

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Partick has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PeterheadDWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
PartickW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
PeterheadPartick
25.0Attack100.0
75.0Defence75.0
33.3Form66.7
45.9Power75.2
1.05xG1.63
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