Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterhead · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterhead 0-3 Montrose
Original prediction
Peterhead
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.6% | 44.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.2% | 26.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 29.2% | 28.4% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Peterhead
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Peterhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PeterheadDWLWW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MontroseWWWLW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
PeterheadMontrose
26.7Attack40.0
60.0Defence26.7
46.7Form40.0
47.3Power37.0
1.52xG1.05