League CupLeague Cup
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 12:33
Peterhead

Peterhead

Home
W
00
Full time
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Away
D
Balmoor
GoalVio prediction
59% confidence
Kilmarnock(59%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Peterhead
19%
Draw
22%
Kilmarnock
59%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Peterhead
94
Kilmarnock
9
Defence
Peterhead
66
Kilmarnock
91
Momentum
Peterhead
100
Kilmarnock
33
Danger (xG)
Peterhead
2.70
Kilmarnock
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Peterhead)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Kilmarnock)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Peterhead)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Kilmarnock)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
PeterheadPeterhead
W
KilmarnockKilmarnock
DW

Probability breakdown

59% confidence
Peterhead19%
Draw22%
Kilmarnock59%

Kilmarnock leads with 59% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Peterhead head into this in League Cup fixture at Balmoor in mixed form (W), while Kilmarnock arrive in mixed form (D). Peterhead have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Kilmarnock over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Peterhead (66/100) and Kilmarnock (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Peterhead have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Kilmarnock have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Peterhead and Kilmarnock in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Kilmarnock to win with 59% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Peterhead 1875%, Draw 2217%, Kilmarnock 5907%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Peterhead

Peterhead

W
@ Elgin City
14 Jul 2026
31
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

D
vs Raith Rovers
14 Jul 2026
00
W
vs Dundee
12 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Peterhead vs Kilmarnock?

GoalVio's model predicts Kilmarnock to win with 59% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Peterhead vs Kilmarnock?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Peterhead vs Kilmarnock?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Peterhead vs Kilmarnock?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more