Peterheadvs
Airdrie United
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Airdrie United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterhead 1-2 Airdrie United
Original prediction
Airdrie United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 31.3% | 35.2% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.3% | 28.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.4% | 36.1% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Airdrie United
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Airdrie United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00