GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 4/7/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Peterborough are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Wycombe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (81.1 v 76.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peterborough

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PeterboroughWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WycombeDLWWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PeterboroughWycombe
75.0Attack58.3
79.2Defence75.0
87.5Form87.5
81.1Power76.3
1.60xG1.08
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