GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 1/14/2025, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Peterborough are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Walsall are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 48.2-point power-rating edge (81.1 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peterborough

Probability

78.0%

Model confidence

78.0%

Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PeterboroughLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WalsallWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PeterboroughWalsall
75.0Attack55.6
79.2Defence22.2
87.5Form11.1
81.1Power32.9
3.23xG0.90
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