GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/31/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Peterborough are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tottenham Hotspur U21 are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 39.9-point power-rating edge (81.1 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peterborough

Probability

74.8%

Model confidence

74.8%

Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PeterboroughWWDWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tottenham Hotspur U21WL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 2.50/2.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
PeterboroughTottenham Hotspur U21
75.0Attack77.8
79.2Defence22.2
87.5Form33.3
81.1Power41.2
3.17xG1.03
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