Peterboroughvs
Swindon Town
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2023, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Peterborough are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Swindon Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the League Cup, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterborough
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80