Peterboroughvs
Stevenage
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/1/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stevenage · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterborough 0-0 Stevenage
Original prediction
Stevenage
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 38.4% | 35.2% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.4% | 27.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 33.2% | 37.5% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Stevenage
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Stevenage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80